INkomfa yeZizwe eziManyeneyo yoRhwebo noPhuhliso (i-UNCTAD) isandul’ ukukhupha ingxelo yophando echaza ukuba iSivumelwano soQeqesho oluBanzi lwezoQoqosho oluBanzi (i-RCEP), oluya kuqala ukusebenza ngomhla woku-1 kuJanuwari 2022, luya kudala owona mmandla mkhulu wezoqoqosho norhwebo.
Ngokwale ngxelo, i-RCEP iya kuba sesona sivumelwano sikhulu sorhwebo esisekwe kwisambuku semveliso yasekhaya (GDP) yamazwe angamalungu ayo.Ngokuchaseneyo, izivumelwano zorhwebo zengingqi ezikhulu, ezifana neMarike yoMzantsi Merika, uMmandla woRhwebelwano weLizwekazi lase-Afrika, iManyano yaseYurophu, kunye neSivumelwano sase-United States-Mexico-Canada, nazo zinyuse isabelo sazo se-GDP yehlabathi.
Uhlalutyo lwengxelo lubonise ukuba i-RCEP iya kuba nefuthe elikhulu kurhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe.Umlinganiselo wezoqoqosho weli qela lisahlumayo kunye namandla alo okurhweba kuya kuyenza ibe yindawo entsha yobunzima borhwebo lwehlabathi.Ngaphantsi kwesibetho esitsha senyumoniya, ukungena ekusebenzeni kwe-RCEP kuya kunceda ekuphuculeni amandla orhwebo ukumelana nemingcipheko.
Ingxelo iphakamisa ukuba ukucuthwa kwamaxabiso ngumthetho-siseko osembindini we-RCEP, kwaye amazwe angamalungu ayo aya kuthi kancinane anciphise imirhumo ukuphumeza urhwebo olukhululekileyo.Amaxabiso amaninzi aya kubhangiswa ngoko nangoko, kwaye amanye amaxabiso aya kuthotywa kancinci kancinci kwiminyaka engama-20.Uluhlu lwamaxabiso olusasebenza luya kulinganiselwa ikakhulu kwiimveliso ezithile kumacandelo acwangcisiweyo, afana nezolimo kunye noshishino lweemoto.Ngo-2019, umthamo worhwebo phakathi kwamazwe angamalungu e-RCEP ufikelele malunga ne-2.3 yeetriliyoni zeedola.Ukucuthwa kwamaxabiso esi sivumelwano kuya kuvelisa ukudalwa korhwebo kunye neziphumo zokuguqula urhwebo.Imirhumo ephantsi iza kuvuselela phantse i-US$17 yeebhiliyoni kurhwebo phakathi kwamazwe angamalungu kwaye itshintshe phantse i-US$25 yeebhiliyoni kurhwebo ukusuka kumazwe angengomalungu ukuya kumazwe angamalungu.Kwangaxeshanye, iya kukhuthaza ngakumbi i-RCEP.Phantse i-2% yempahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle phakathi kwamazwe angamalungu ixabisa malunga nama-42 eebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika.
Ingxelo ikholelwa ukuba amazwe angamalungu e-RCEP kulindeleke ukuba afumane izabelo ezahlukeneyo kwisivumelwano.Ukwehliswa kwerhafu kulindeleke ukuba kube nempembelelo ephezulu yorhwebo kuqoqosho olukhulu lweqela.Ngenxa yempembelelo yorhwebo, iJapan iya kuxhamla kakhulu ekuthotyweni komrhumo we-RCEP, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwayo kumazwe angaphandle kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke malunga neebhiliyoni ezingama-20 zeedola.Esi sivumelwano siza kuba nefuthe elihle kakhulu ekuthengisweni kumazwe angaphandle kweOstreliya, eTshayina, kuMzantsi Korea naseNew Zealand.Ngenxa yesiphumo esibi soguqulo kurhwebo, ukucuthwa komrhumo we-RCEP kunokunciphisa uthunyelo ngaphandle olusuka eKhambodiya, e-Indonesia, kwiiPhilippines naseVietnam.Inxalenye yokuthunyelwa kolu qoqosho ngaphandle kulindeleke ukuba ijike kwicala eliluncedo kwamanye amazwe angamalungu e-RCEP.Ngokubanzi, ummandla wonke ogutyungelwe sisivumelwano uya kuxhamla kwizinto ezikhethwa yi-RCEP.
Ingxelo igxininisa ukuba njengoko inkqubo yokumanyaniswa kwamazwe angamalungu e-RCEP ihambela phambili ngakumbi, isiphumo sokuguqulwa korhwebo sisenokwandiswa.Lo ngumba ekungamelanga ukuba ujongelwe phantsi ngamazwe angamalungu angengawo e-RCEP.
Umthombo: RCEP Chinese Network
Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-29-2021